Its been a fantastic ride for those in the share market but is the end in sight?
Here is a view of S&P Index on log price scale stretching back 30 years or so. Each candle is one month.
We can make a large bullish channel from the 2 main lows. How much of this bullishness is really just the purchasing power of the dollar falling? (erm… just about all of it) But regardless, price is finding resistance and unable to get back into the top half of the channel.
Looking at RSI prices are too high. On MACD a bearish cross looks to be in progress. I’ve missed out on the stock market unfortunately but there is no chance of me entering now. The bottom of that channel is around 1000 which is a 50% price drop. That is not unreasonable to forsee.
Here is how it looks on linear price scale showing latest rally
Its a new paradigm it will go up forever!!!
(just to clarify I don’t really think that last statement)
As discussed in comments when i say time to sell the stock market, I am thinking on long term timescales. Actual collapse may still be some time away. On shorter timescale (and thanks to central planners and plunge protection) the bullish trendlines are still being strictly obeyed. (Until the time they dramatically do plunge)